@matthughes13 matthughes13
Perma-bull chart-and-narrative trader pushing crypto, miners and AI-semis
Posts technical level setups (Gann, Ichimoku, fib backtests)
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.66% mean alpha, trader score -0.52. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.1% since posting (mean over 75 mentions with price data).
The author is mostly calling a liquidity-led risk-on tape, with concentration in MSTR, BTC, ETH, crypto miners, semis, and high-beta innovation names. Their distinctive read is that fear, resistance tests, and volatility are opportunities to build quality risk assets, while commodities look short-term topped. The only explicit trade action was adding MSTR again, offset by a discrete bearish risk note on STRC and some caution around semiconductor resistance.
The author stayed broadly risk-on, with crypto, MSTR, miner/AI-HPC names, semis and high-beta innovation as the center of gravity. The only explicit add was MSTR on June 18, while bearishness was concentrated in STRC structure risk and short-term commodities topping. Semiconductor tone was more two-sided, shifting from breakout watch to caution after resistance rejections, then back to monitoring possible breakouts.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | · | @matthughes13 | · | Says market punished crowding: too bullish semis/AI and too bearish crypto. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AMD | @matthughes13 | +0.20 | Discusses high-time-frame resistance and improving risk/reward after breakout pullback. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @matthughes13 | +0.20 | Discusses high-time-frame resistance and improving risk/reward after breakout pullback. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NBIS | @matthughes13 | -0.45 | Warns NBIS losing 216.84 could imply much more downside. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MRVL | @matthughes13 | -0.25 | Says resistance was expected and 214 is next indicator level below for MRVL. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | TSLA | @matthughes13 | +0.15 | Tells TSLA holders to relax; mild constructive stance with no detail. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | COIN | @matthughes13 | +0.30 | Claims Trump just bought COIN, implying a notable disclosed purchase. | +3.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | COIN | @matthughes13 | +0.35 | Suggests Trump's COIN purchase makes staying bearish on crypto questionable. | +3.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | WGMI | @matthughes13 | +0.00 | Mentions month-start shenanigans with WGMI chart but no standalone stance. | -9.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | WULF | @matthughes13 | +0.25 | Frames pullback to support as normal before bullish continuation higher. | -10.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | CIFR | @matthughes13 | +0.25 | Frames pullback to support as normal before bullish continuation higher. | -12.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | KEEL | @matthughes13 | +0.25 | Frames pullback to support as normal before bullish continuation higher. | -14.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | IREN | @matthughes13 | +0.25 | Frames pullback to support as normal before bullish continuation higher. | -10.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | WGMI | @matthughes13 | +0.35 | Frames pullback to support as normal before bullish continuation higher. | -9.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | HUT | @matthughes13 | +0.25 | Frames pullback to support as normal before bullish continuation higher. | -8.2% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.