Author
@that1618guy that1618guy
grade Bx.com/that1618guy ↗
Crypto momentum trader running homemade regime/positioning models with falsifiable, disclosed calls
Trades and tracks crypto and crypto-adjacent equities, publi
trader score
+1.80
hit rate
70%
mean α
+0.94%
signals 14d
198
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 70% hit rate, +0.94% mean alpha, trader score +1.80. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.1% since posting (mean over 24 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @that1618guy | · | Explains how copy trading and low liquidity can amplify selloffs in crypto markets. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPCX | @that1618guy | +0.20 | Compares tokenized-pair volumes and highlights SPCX and NVDA leadership. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | NVDA | @that1618guy | +0.20 | Compares tokenized-pair volumes and highlights SPCX and NVDA leadership. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPY | @that1618guy | +0.00 | Compares tokenized-pair volumes and highlights SPCX and NVDA leadership. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | PONS | @that1618guy | +0.25 | Compares tokenized-pair volumes and highlights SPCX and NVDA leadership. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @that1618guy | · | Explains that the author's model measures each transaction rather than estimating from volume. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPCX | @that1618guy | +0.15 | States SPCX appears to be the preferred pairing, with supporting media. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @that1618guy | +0.00 | Reports one-third of PONS launches use tokenized-stock pairs across 23,000 lifetime launches. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPCX | @that1618guy | +0.00 | Reports one-third of PONS launches use tokenized-stock pairs across 23,000 lifetime launches. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | TSLA | @that1618guy | +0.00 | Reports one-third of PONS launches use tokenized-stock pairs across 23,000 lifetime launches. | -1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | GME | @that1618guy | +0.00 | Reports one-third of PONS launches use tokenized-stock pairs across 23,000 lifetime launches. | -2.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | PONS | @that1618guy | +0.15 | Reports one-third of PONS launches use tokenized-stock pairs across 23,000 lifetime launches. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | QUOTRON | @that1618guy | +0.70 | Reports a 25-fold gain from an earlier NFT mention and says it is time to lock in. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | PONS | @that1618guy | +0.80 | Explicitly bullish, arguing improving revenue creates a valuation and price flywheel. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @that1618guy | · | Metaphor implies bullish forces are threatening bears. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.