Author · brief 2026-06-22

@TheLongInvest TheLongInvest

Perma-bull thematic momentum trader running a paid group on Wave-3 chart calls

Posts real-time bullish tickered buy/accumulate calls and pr

trader score
-2.16
hit rate
35%
mean α
-2.04%
signals 14d
382

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -2.04% mean alpha, trader score -2.16. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +3.5% since posting (mean over 275 mentions with price data).

Bullish wave-trading basket with HIMS, ASTS, ZETA focus

The author is running a high-beta long book centered on HIMS, ASTS, ZETA, ADUR, OSCR, and selected recovery names, using Elliott Wave and moving-average setups for targets and adds. The distinctive read is a near-term melt-up into late summer, while warning that Wave 5 completion and post-September seasonality could require selling winners and buying back after a correction. Late-week focus shifted toward portfolio construction and eventual exit/re-add planning for large-cap tech while still promoting the speculative basket.

Themes5analyst read · 2026-06-22
Consumer health and insurance breakout longs
bullconsistent69 signals
⚠ 51% of theme signals are HIMS — flag pump risk
Speculative Wave 3 and Wave 5 growth basket
bullfading83 signals
SPCX valuation short and rotation into ASTS
mixedintensifying36 signals
⚠ 44% of theme signals are ASTS — flag pump risk
Macro melt-up, safe havens, and crypto reversal
mixedintensifying18 signals
⚠ 50% of theme signals are QQQ — flag pump risk
Large-cap AI and semiconductor cycle management
mixedintensifying25 signals
Direction this week

Conviction is concentrated in HIMS, ASTS, ZETA, ADUR, and OSCR, with repeated explicit buy/add calls and a heavy HIMS cluster that carries pump-risk. The clearest flip is SPCX, where the author moved from valuation criticism into an explicit sell/rotation call into ASTS. Late in the window, he added a sell-then-readd framework for large-cap AI after Wave 5 completion while keeping near-term melt-up exposure intact.

Position disclosures3skin in the game
DCTH Discloses DCTH long with bullish setup and Wave 3 target at $34 held
HIMS Doubled HIMS position at $15 and targets $40 added
HIMS HIMS position up 83% with expectation for 5X over 12-24 months held
Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
OSCR’s base, breakout, retest, and wave structure point to upside continuation toward the high 20s, 30s, or 40s.
bullHIGH12 co-supporters
BABA is still materially undervalued, with dip-buyers targeting large upside over multi-year horizons.
bullMEDIUM5 co-supporters
ASTS remains materially undervalued if revenue ramps, commercial service starts, and execution supports long-term market
bullMEDIUM7 co-supporters
Berkshire's Q1 2026 13F showing NYT exposure or additions provides institutional validation and may support NYT's valuat
bullHIGH7 co-supporters
Strong revenue growth, repeated beat-and-raise execution, profitability inflection, and FCF expansion validate a higher-
bullHIGH5 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-03NBIS@TheLongInvest+0.65Support near $200 is where NBIS bulls want to add. — Author says support is where you want to add after Wave 4 holds at $200.
2026-07-03V@TheLongInvest+0.45Says Visa chart still has more to go to reach Wave 5 target, after prior +20%.
2026-07-02ETH@TheLongInvest+0.65Accumulating ETH here makes sense on risk/reward. — Author says accumulating ETH makes sense near 6-year support with RSI 30.·
2026-07-02·@TheLongInvest·Author recaps portfolio swing from -5% to +12% and prior rotation into health.·
2026-07-02TSLA@TheLongInvest+0.25Says TSLA buyers are not buying for car production numbers, implying broader thesis.
2026-07-02SNDK@TheLongInvest-0.65SNDK down 29% from high with author saying at least 21% still to go.
2026-07-02ASTS@TheLongInvest+0.25Cheering ASTS Irish connection; weak bullish enthusiasm only.
2026-07-02·@TheLongInvest·Encourages adding on red days after pullbacks when value remains.·
2026-07-02MU@TheLongInvest-0.15Author says he guided several bull groups during pullbacks to entry points.
2026-07-02SOFI@TheLongInvest+0.15Author says he guided several bull groups during pullbacks to entry points.
2026-07-02PLTR@TheLongInvest+0.15Author says he guided several bull groups during pullbacks to entry points.
2026-07-02NBIS@TheLongInvest+0.15Author says he guided several bull groups during pullbacks to entry points.
2026-07-02MU@TheLongInvest-0.35MU is down 24% from high and author says halfway there, implying more downside.
2026-07-02NVDA@TheLongInvest+0.45Says NVDA is near red for year despite having the best fundamentals.
2026-07-02ZETA@TheLongInvest+0.65Calls ZETA the author's Christmas gift and says it has never failed.

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.