Author
@TheStalwart TheStalwart
grade Ax.com/TheStalwart ↗
Bloomberg macro commentator dissecting AI-compute economics, inflation mechanics and rates
Real-time macro commentary and original framework-building,
trader score
+1.18
hit rate
59%
mean α
+1.50%
signals 14d
42
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 17 scored bets: 59% hit rate, +1.50% mean alpha, trader score +1.18. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +3.4% since posting (mean over 9 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | · | @TheStalwart | · | Argues quant trading rewards stronger AI models but remains a zero-sum arms race for fixed alpha. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @TheStalwart | · | Contrasts Wall Street's AI-overcapacity concerns with Silicon Valley's dismissal of overbuild risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @TheStalwart | · | Highlights the risk that France's political crisis could become a broader debt and euro crisis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @TheStalwart | · | Warns that advanced AI may create dangerously concentrated power despite safety benefits. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | CRWV | @TheStalwart | -0.30 | Uses CoreWeave's turmoil to frame data centers as leveraged financial intermediaries. | -22.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @TheStalwart | · | Attributes high rates and inflation to strong household, corporate and government spending. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @TheStalwart | · | Says falling rates despite hot inflation show the entire market is dominated by the AI trade. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | CAT | @TheStalwart | -0.40 | Expresses a negative reaction to Caterpillar, with details dependent on linked media. | -6.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | CRWV | @TheStalwart | -0.25 | References investor jitters over AI spending and CoreWeave ahead of a compute-trading discussion. | -22.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @TheStalwart | · | The 10-year Treasury yield fell despite hotter-than-expected CPI and PPI readings. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @TheStalwart | · | Reports that the PPI reading was the hottest in four years. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | QQQ | @TheStalwart | -0.45 | Nasdaq 100 futures were down another 1.1%. | -3.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | CRWV | @TheStalwart | +0.10 | CoreWeave's CEO attributes the share decline to irrational market behavior. | -17.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | ORCL | @TheStalwart | +0.05 | Oracle financially supported the Nashville Symphony Orchestra. | -3.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @TheStalwart | · | Argues models can reproduce human-like harmful ideas and behavior. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.