@cfromhertz cfromhertz
Process-driven swing trader fusing volume-profile structure with an AI-capex macro thesis.
Trades and teaches a trend-following/momentum book across US
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, +0.10% mean alpha, trader score +0.07. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.2% since posting (mean over 182 mentions with price data).
cfromhertz is trading leadership rather than broad beta, with adds in DELL, BAND, DOCN and a tactical CRDO trim/add-back plan. His distinctive read is that semis, semi equipment, banks and industrials remain the market’s real leadership while NVDA and parts of software are no longer leading. Late-week, he flipped back bullish after a brief bearish afternoon, while flagging a stronger dollar as a headwind for international equities.
He flipped back bullish on June 18 after saying he had been bearish the prior afternoon, and most subsequent posts emphasize leadership rather than de-risking. Adds were concentrated early in DELL, BAND and DOCN, while CRDO was trimmed after a rebalance jump with an explicit plan to add back lower. Concentration sits in semis, semi equipment, banks and industrials, with a late-week warning that dollar strength can pressure international equities.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | FTNT | @cfromhertz | +0.35 | Calls PANW a monster breakout and discloses ownership of FTNT, CRWD, and CIBR. | -1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | CIBR | @cfromhertz | +0.35 | Calls PANW a monster breakout and discloses ownership of FTNT, CRWD, and CIBR. | -0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | CRWD | @cfromhertz | +0.35 | Calls PANW a monster breakout and discloses ownership of FTNT, CRWD, and CIBR. | +0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | PANW | @cfromhertz | +0.55 | Calls PANW a monster breakout and discloses ownership of FTNT, CRWD, and CIBR. | -1.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | BTC | @cfromhertz | +0.25 | IBIT/BTC is in downtrend but has bullish RSI divergence and is holding July value area. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | IBIT | @cfromhertz | +0.25 | IBIT/BTC is in downtrend but has bullish RSI divergence and is holding July value area. | +2.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SPY | @cfromhertz | +0.00 | SPY chart/eyes-only post lacks standalone stance. | -0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | DAVE | @cfromhertz | +0.50 | DAVE has a nice breakout and relative strength in fintech, though author is not in it. | +1.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | IGV | @cfromhertz | +0.35 | SMH down 4% while IGV up 3.4%. | +0.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SMH | @cfromhertz | -0.40 | SMH down 4% while IGV up 3.4%. | -4.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | GLD | @cfromhertz | +0.35 | Author likes major support and added GLD to a portfolio last week, while noting no turn yet. | +2.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | FCEL | @cfromhertz | +0.10 | Took profits and exited at target for +32.5%, now watching overhead supply. | -11.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SPCX | @cfromhertz | +0.35 | Possible add if SPCX holds $160 — After taking profits on 3/4, author identifies possible add spot if SPCX holds $160. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | IBM | @cfromhertz | +0.35 | IBM is trying to exit its 2026 value area and may start trending despite erratic action. | +1.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | RSP | @cfromhertz | +0.45 | Author is looking for new highs in equal-weighted S&P ETF RSP. | +0.7% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.